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Market Intelligence

Lending Conditions

Monitor bank appetite, underwriting standards, rates, and terms

10Y Treasury
5.05%FRED DGS10, as of Oct 28, 2026

What This Means for NNN Investors

Debt Availability Surging Despite Rate Uncertainty

Debt availability strengthened in Q1 2026 even with the Fed holding. Lenders are competing for quality NNN collateral. Conduit, agency multifamily, and bridge loans are pricing at different levels. The surge is lenders rebuilding balance sheets after the caution of 2023-2024, not a rush caused by cheaper rates. That distinction matters for a borrower timing an acquisition.

Rate Environment: Higher for Longer Is Here

The 2025 inflation resurgence ended expectations for continued rate cuts. By July 2026, CPI was still above the Fed's target. Three FOMC members dissented in favor of hikes at the July meeting. Commercial mortgage quotes still span a wide range, from agency and SBA programs at the low end to bridge loans at the high end. Borrowers locking a fixed rate now are hedging against further hikes in the second half of 2026.

CMBS Market Improving but Selective

CMBS delinquencies improved in Q2 2026 after a weaker first quarter, the first quarterly improvement in four quarters. Office and lodging remain the most stressed sectors. Industrial and healthcare delinquencies decreased. New issuance is returning for investment-grade pools, but underwriting is still tighter than it was before 2022. Non-recourse conduit financing is available again for creditworthy net-lease deals.

Sale-Leasebacks Driving New Capital Formation

Corporate sale-leaseback volume is rising as tenants lock in capital ahead of potentially higher borrowing costs. First-quarter 2026 commercial volume ran ahead of the five-year average. Net lease volume stayed steady through the first half of 2026, supported by institutional demand. Approvals are moving, and a typical close still takes a couple of months.

Key Takeaways

  • check_circleDebt was more available in Q1 2026, and lenders are competing for quality net lease despite unsettled rates
  • check_circleConduit, SBA, and DSCR loans are not the same quote, so shop the structure as well as the coupon
  • check_circleCMBS delinquencies improved in the second quarter, the first drop in four quarters
  • check_circleFirst-quarter 2026 transaction volume was the strongest first quarter since 2021
  • check_circleThe Fed is holding, with hawkish dissents, and inflation still leaves hikes on the table
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Historical Context

Lending terms move with the Treasury and fed funds prints in the ticker. This page does not quote a current loan rate, CPI rate, or leverage average unless that figure is stored with a source and date. The net lease cap rate shown elsewhere on the site is the Boulder Group Q2 2026 survey.

infoDisclaimer

Data and analysis on this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment, financial, or tax advice. Figures may be estimated from publicly available sources and should be verified with primary data providers (CoStar, MSCI RCA, CBRE, FRED) before use in investment decisions. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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