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Featured Analysis

Q1 2026 CRE Market Update: From Stabilization to Expansion

The commercial real estate market is demonstrating clear signs of recovery in Q1 2026. Key indicators — rate stabilization, rising sales volume, cap rate compression, and positive pricing across all asset classes — signal a shift into expansion mode.

NNN Research Desk8 min readMar 2, 2026

10-Year Treasury YieldFRED DGS10

4.12%+3 bps

infoWhy the 10-Year Matters for CRE

The 10-year Treasury yield is the benchmark rate that drives commercial real estate valuations. CRE loans, especially CMBS, are typically priced as a spread over the 10-year. When yields fall, borrowing costs decrease and property values tend to rise. Cap rate spreads over the 10-year determine whether investors achieve positive leverage - earning more from property income than they pay in debt service. A wider spread signals stronger risk-adjusted returns for NNN investors.

Today's Intelligence

Market Update

Dallas Eyeing Downtown Tower for New City Hall

The 40-story Bryan Tower is being considered by Dallas as the location for a new City Hall. The Dallas Business Journal reports the owners of Bryan Tower, Pacific Elm, have been in discussions with the city regarding the city taking over the entire building. The Bryan Tower is currently unoccupied. The tower is located at ... The post Dallas Eyeing Downtown Tower for New City Hall appeared first on Connect CRE .

1 min read

Market Update

Doggy Day Care 2.0 to Open New Location In Seaport District

Who let the dogs out? Certainly not their day care provider! Doggy Day Care 2.0, a tech-enabled babysitting, grooming, boarding and training facility for dogs, signed a 10-year, 1,835-square-foot lease at 25 Peck Slip in Lower Manhattan’s Seaport District, Commercial Observer has learned. Asking rent was $98 per square foot. The retail space covers the […]

1 min read

Market Update

Accesso to Start Work on Expansive Austin Redevelopment Project

Accesso will break ground on the multi-phase mixed-use project at the property at 7700 Parmer Lane in 2027, and will also renovate the existing office buildings on the campus, currently the fourth-largest office campus in the metro at 911,573 square feet. The Austin Business Journal reports that the renovations would expand the campus to more ... The post Accesso to Start Work on Expansive Austin Redevelopment Project appeared first on Connect CRE .

1 min read

Market Update

H-E-B Rehabs Landfill, to Build Expanded Buda Store

After taking away nearly 20 feet of dirt from a Buda landfill, grocery giant H-E-B has been greenlit to build an expanded 135,000 square foot store. The town granted the chain a $20 million incentive package to support H-E-B’s remediation efforts. The latest testing showed no contamination sources, so the deal is on. The Austin ... The post H-E-B Rehabs Landfill, to Build Expanded Buda Store appeared first on Connect CRE .

1 min read

Market Update

Nashville Developer Buys Land for 53-Story Hotel/Condo Tower

DAC Developments paid $22 million for nearly an acre at 319 Peabody St. in Nashville that it hopes will one day be the site of a 53-story hotel and condo tower. The Nashville Business Journal reports the tower would be the tallest in Nashville. The $460 million development is slated to offer 104 condos and 405 hotel ... The post Nashville Developer Buys Land for 53-Story Hotel/Condo Tower appeared first on Connect CRE .

1 min read

Market Update

Escape Room Escapology to Open in 7K SF at 45 Rockefeller Plaza

This retail tenant couldn’t escape the draw of Rockefeller Plaza. Escape room operator Escapology signed a 10-year, 7,270-square-foot lease on the same level as the ice skating rink at Tishman Speyer’s 45 Rockefeller Plaza as part of the retail offerings in the well-known tourism hub, according to the landlord. Asking rent for the space was […]

1 min read

Tenant	Type	Price	Cap Rate	Lease	Market
Prime Sarasota Parcel Hits the Market	NNN Deal	$25M	N/A	N/A
Developer Picks Up Concord Site for 8-Building Industrial Park	NNN Deal	$5.45M	N/A	N/A
Parcel Assemblage Sale Sets East Williamsburg Record for Pricing	NNN Deal	$13.5M	N/A	N/A
Foundry Acquires Three Florida Senior Care Centers	NNN Deal	$52M	N/A	N/A
Fort Collins Townhome Community Trades for $390K/Unit	NNN Deal	$40.8M	N/A	N/A
JLL IPT Adds Watertown Complex to Healthcare Portfolio	NNN Deal	$32M	N/A	N/A
Aldi	Grocery	$3,850,000	5.35%	15 yrs	St. Louis, MO
Caliber Collision	Auto Service	$2,350,000	5.80%	15 yrs	Phoenix, AZ
Boot Barn	Retail	$4,200,000	5.90%	10 yrs	Fort Worth, TX
Sherwin-Williams	Retail	$1,750,000	5.60%	10 yrs	Cleveland, OH
Advance Auto Parts	Auto Parts	$1,500,000	6.75%	10 yrs	Richmond, VA
RaceTrac	Convenience	$3,600,000	4.95%	15 yrs	Atlanta, GA
Casey's General Stores	Convenience	$3,200,000	5.15%	15 yrs	Des Moines, IA
Sheetz	Convenience	$4,750,000	4.70%	20 yrs	Roanoke, VA
Buc-ee's	Convenience	$18,500,000	4.40%	20 yrs	Daytona Beach, FL
QuikTrip	Convenience	$3,900,000	4.80%	20 yrs	Tulsa, OK
Big Lots	Retail	$2,800,000	7.50%	5 yrs	Tulsa, OK
Family Dollar	Discount	$1,100,000	7.10%	7 yrs	Jackson, MS
Dollar General	Discount	$1,550,000	6.40%	15 yrs	Birmingham, AL
Five Below	Discount	$2,400,000	5.85%	10 yrs	Tampa, FL
Dollar Tree	Discount	$1,275,000	6.50%	10 yrs	Little Rock, AR
Penske Truck Leasing	Industrial	$4,300,000	5.90%	12 yrs	Salt Lake City, UT
UPS Distribution	Industrial	$9,750,000	5.45%	15 yrs	Louisville, KY
XPO Logistics	Industrial	$6,800,000	6.10%	10 yrs	Cincinnati, OH
DHL Supply Chain	Industrial	$7,200,000	5.80%	12 yrs	Memphis, TN
Amazon Last Mile	Industrial	$12,500,000	5.25%	10 yrs	Dallas, TX
Oak Street Health	Medical	$4,100,000	5.50%	15 yrs	Chicago, IL
Dialysis Clinic Inc.	Medical	$3,400,000	6.20%	10 yrs	Memphis, TN
Aspen Dental	Medical	$2,250,000	5.75%	12 yrs	Nashville, TN
Heartland Dental	Medical	$1,800,000	6.15%	10 yrs	Boise, ID
Rite Aid	Pharmacy	$1,350,000	7.80%	5 yrs	Scranton, PA
Popeyes	QSR	$2,200,000	5.40%	15 yrs	New Orleans, LA
Whataburger	QSR	$3,450,000	4.90%	20 yrs	Austin, TX
Chipotle Mexican Grill	Fast Casual	$2,650,000	4.60%	15 yrs	Denver, CO
Wendy's	QSR	$2,100,000	5.25%	15 yrs	Columbus, OH
McDonald's	QSR	$2,400,000	4.25%	20 yrs	Orlando, FL
Hobby Lobby	Retail	$5,200,000	6.35%	15 yrs	Oklahoma City, OK
Fresenius Medical Care	Medical	$2,650,000	6.00%	10 yrs	Atlanta, GA
Wawa	Convenience	$4,250,000	4.95%	20 yrs	Jacksonville, FL
CVS Pharmacy	Pharmacy	$3,100,000	5.50%	18 yrs	Raleigh, NC
Raising Cane's	QSR	$2,850,000	4.75%	15 yrs	Houston, TX
DaVita Kidney Care	Medical	$2,900,000	5.90%	12 yrs	Orlando, FL
AutoZone	Auto Parts	$1,680,000	6.10%	15 yrs	San Antonio, TX
Tractor Supply Co.	Farm & Ranch	$3,800,000	5.70%	15 yrs	Lexington, KY
Starbucks	QSR	$1,950,000	4.85%	10 yrs	Scottsdale, AZ
FedEx Ground	Industrial	$8,450,000	5.65%	12 yrs	Indianapolis, IN
7-Eleven	Convenience	$2,750,000	5.10%	20 yrs	Phoenix, AZ
Chick-fil-A	QSR	$3,200,000	4.50%	20 yrs	Charlotte, NC
O'Reilly Auto Parts	Auto Parts	$1,850,000	5.95%	20 yrs	Dallas, TX
Dollar General	Discount	$1,425,000	6.25%	15 yrs	Nashville, TN
Walgreens	Pharmacy	$2,100,000	5.80%	15 yrs	Tampa, FL
Undisclosed Tenant	Retail	$54.00M	N/A
Undisclosed Tenant	Industrial	$116.00M	N/A
Undisclosed Tenant	Office	$40.00M	N/A
Undisclosed Tenant	Discount Retail	$235.00M	N/A
Undisclosed Tenant	Retail	$18.00M	N/A
Undisclosed Tenant	Industrial	$575.00M	N/A
Undisclosed Tenant	Retail	$60.00M	N/A
Amazon	Industrial	$427.00M	N/A		GW

Tenant

Type

Price

Cap Rate

Lease

Market

Prime Sarasota Parcel Hits the Market

NNN Deal

$25M

N/A

Developer Picks Up Concord Site for 8-Building Industrial Park

NNN Deal

$5.45M

N/A

Parcel Assemblage Sale Sets East Williamsburg Record for Pricing

NNN Deal

$13.5M

N/A

Foundry Acquires Three Florida Senior Care Centers

NNN Deal

$52M

N/A

Fort Collins Townhome Community Trades for $390K/Unit

NNN Deal

$40.8M

N/A

JLL IPT Adds Watertown Complex to Healthcare Portfolio

NNN Deal

$32M

N/A

Aldi

Grocery

$3,850,000

5.35%

15 yrs

St. Louis, MO

Caliber Collision

Auto Service

$2,350,000

5.80%

15 yrs

Phoenix, AZ

Boot Barn

Retail

$4,200,000

5.90%

10 yrs

Fort Worth, TX

Sherwin-Williams

Retail

$1,750,000

5.60%

10 yrs

Cleveland, OH

Advance Auto Parts

Auto Parts

$1,500,000

6.75%

10 yrs

Richmond, VA

RaceTrac

Convenience

$3,600,000

4.95%

15 yrs

Atlanta, GA

Casey's General Stores

Convenience

$3,200,000

5.15%

15 yrs

Des Moines, IA

Sheetz

Convenience

$4,750,000

4.70%

20 yrs

Roanoke, VA

Buc-ee's

Convenience

$18,500,000

4.40%

20 yrs

Daytona Beach, FL

QuikTrip

Convenience

$3,900,000

4.80%

20 yrs

Tulsa, OK

Big Lots

Retail

$2,800,000

7.50%

5 yrs

Tulsa, OK

Family Dollar

Discount

$1,100,000

7.10%

7 yrs

Jackson, MS

Dollar General

Discount

$1,550,000

6.40%

15 yrs

Birmingham, AL

Five Below

Discount

$2,400,000

5.85%

10 yrs

Tampa, FL

Dollar Tree

Discount

$1,275,000

6.50%

10 yrs

Little Rock, AR

Penske Truck Leasing

Industrial

$4,300,000

5.90%

12 yrs

Salt Lake City, UT

UPS Distribution

Industrial

$9,750,000

5.45%

15 yrs

Louisville, KY

XPO Logistics

Industrial

$6,800,000

6.10%

10 yrs

Cincinnati, OH

DHL Supply Chain

Industrial

$7,200,000

5.80%

12 yrs

Memphis, TN

Amazon Last Mile

Industrial

$12,500,000

5.25%

10 yrs

Dallas, TX

Oak Street Health

Medical

$4,100,000

5.50%

15 yrs

Chicago, IL

Dialysis Clinic Inc.

Medical

$3,400,000

6.20%

10 yrs

Memphis, TN

Aspen Dental

Medical

$2,250,000

5.75%

12 yrs

Nashville, TN

Heartland Dental

Medical

$1,800,000

6.15%

10 yrs

Boise, ID

Rite Aid

Pharmacy

$1,350,000

7.80%

5 yrs

Scranton, PA

Popeyes

QSR

$2,200,000

5.40%

15 yrs

New Orleans, LA

Whataburger

QSR

$3,450,000

4.90%

20 yrs

Austin, TX

Chipotle Mexican Grill

Fast Casual

$2,650,000

4.60%

15 yrs

Denver, CO

Wendy's

QSR

$2,100,000

5.25%

15 yrs

Columbus, OH

McDonald's

QSR

$2,400,000

4.25%

20 yrs

Orlando, FL

Hobby Lobby

Retail

$5,200,000

6.35%

15 yrs

Oklahoma City, OK

Fresenius Medical Care

Medical

$2,650,000

6.00%

10 yrs

Atlanta, GA

Wawa

Convenience

$4,250,000

4.95%

20 yrs

Jacksonville, FL

CVS Pharmacy

Pharmacy

$3,100,000

5.50%

18 yrs

Raleigh, NC

Raising Cane's

QSR

$2,850,000

4.75%

15 yrs

Houston, TX

DaVita Kidney Care

Medical

$2,900,000

5.90%

12 yrs

Orlando, FL

AutoZone

Auto Parts

$1,680,000

6.10%

15 yrs

San Antonio, TX

Tractor Supply Co.

Farm & Ranch

$3,800,000

5.70%

15 yrs

Lexington, KY

Starbucks

QSR

$1,950,000

4.85%

10 yrs

Scottsdale, AZ

FedEx Ground

Industrial

$8,450,000

5.65%

12 yrs

Indianapolis, IN

7-Eleven

Convenience

$2,750,000

5.10%

20 yrs

Phoenix, AZ

Chick-fil-A

QSR

$3,200,000

4.50%

20 yrs

Charlotte, NC

O'Reilly Auto Parts

Auto Parts

$1,850,000

5.95%

20 yrs

Dallas, TX

Dollar General

Discount

$1,425,000

6.25%

15 yrs

Nashville, TN

Walgreens

Pharmacy

$2,100,000

5.80%

15 yrs

Tampa, FL

Undisclosed Tenant

Retail

$54.00M

N/A

Undisclosed Tenant

Industrial

$116.00M

N/A

Undisclosed Tenant

Office

$40.00M

N/A

Undisclosed Tenant

Discount Retail

$235.00M

N/A

Undisclosed Tenant

Retail

$18.00M

N/A

Undisclosed Tenant

Industrial

$575.00M

N/A

Undisclosed Tenant

Retail

$60.00M

N/A

Amazon

Industrial

$427.00M

N/A

Featured Analysis

Q1 2026 CRE Market Update: From Stabilization to Expansion

NNN Research Desk8 min readMar 2, 2026

10-Year Treasury YieldFRED DGS10

4.12%+3 bps

infoWhy the 10-Year Matters for CRE

Today's Intelligence

Market Update

Sector News

Dallas Eyeing Downtown Tower for New City Hall

Recent Deals

CRE Sectors

Retail NNN

Industrial

Office

Multifamily

Data Centers

Medical Office

Self Storage

Hospitality

Strip Malls

Latest Articles

Strategies for Adding Value in TripleNet Lease Properties

Creative Financing Strategies for Small Investors

Understanding Easements and Right-of-Way in Commercial Properties

CRE Investor Calculators

Cap Rate Calculator

Cash Flow Analyzer

IRR Estimator

Lease Analyzer

Join 12,400+ CRE investors

Sector News

Dallas Eyeing Downtown Tower for New City Hall

Recent Deals

CRE Sectors

Retail NNN

Industrial

Office

Multifamily

Data Centers

Medical Office

Self Storage

Hospitality

Strip Malls

Latest Articles

Strategies for Adding Value in TripleNet Lease Properties

Creative Financing Strategies for Small Investors

Understanding Easements and Right-of-Way in Commercial Properties

CRE Investor Calculators

Cap Rate Calculator

Cash Flow Analyzer

IRR Estimator

Lease Analyzer

Join 12,400+ CRE investors