Market Data
Industrial & Logistics sector
warehouse

Industrial & Logistics

Last-mile fulfillment and distribution assets leased to tier-one logistics operators with secular growth tailwinds.

Median asking cap rate7.25%↑ +10 bps

Data as of Q2 2026. Median asking cap rate for single-tenant net lease listings, The Boulder Group, Q2 2026. Asking, not closed.

Key Metrics

Median asking cap rate

7.25%

↑+10 bps

Market Overview

“

The industrial and logistics sector has emerged as one of the most compelling investment opportunities in commercial real estate, driven by structural tailwinds from e-commerce adoption and supply chain reconfiguration.

Properties leased to FedEx, Amazon, DHL, and other tier-one logistics providers offer exposure to essential infrastructure supporting the modern supply chain. These facilities-ranging from large fulfillment centers to last-mile distribution hubs-benefit from consistent demand and limited new supply constraints in prime markets. Tenants in this space maintain investment-grade or near-investment-grade credit ratings and demonstrate financial resilience through multiple economic cycles. The sector's characteristics include long lease terms (10-15 years), creditworthy operators, and favorable rent escalation provisions. The Boulder Group's Q2 2026 median asking cap for industrial single-tenant net lease is 7.25%. That print reflects both the quality of tenants and the returns investors are seeking in this asset class.

Top Tenants

S&P ratings via Hanley Investment Group, Q3 2026.

1
Amazon Logistics
AA · S&P · Jul 1, 2026NNN
location_onCA, TX, FL, OH, PA
2
FedEx Distribution
BBB · S&P · Jul 1, 2026NNN
location_onTN, TX, CA, GA, IL
3
Walmart Distribution
AA · S&P · Jul 1, 2026NNN
location_onTX, CA, AR, PA, NJ
4
Target Distribution
A · S&P · Jul 1, 2026NNN
location_onIL, CA, GA, TX, PA
5
UPS Logistics
A · S&P · Jul 1, 2026NNN
location_onGA, TX, NJ, CA, OH
6
XPO Logistics
NNN
location_onIL, TX, CA, FL, NJ
7
DHL Supply Chain
NNN
location_onGA, CA, NJ, TX, AZ
8
Sysco Corporation
NNN
location_onTX, CA, FL, IL, PA
9
Ryder System
NNN
location_onFL, CA, TX, IL, NJ
10
Americold Realty Trust
NNN
location_onTX, CA, GA, FL, IL
11
Old Dominion Freight
NNN
location_onNC, TX, CA, PA, GA
12
US Foods Distribution
NNN
location_onIL, TX, CA, FL, PA
13
Lineage Logistics
NNN
location_onCA, TX, IL, GA, FL
14
McKesson Corporation
NNN
location_onCA, TX, PA, NJ, IL
15
Caterpillar Distribution
NNN
location_onIL, TX, CA, GA, PA
16
Cardinal Health
NNN
location_onOH, PA, CA, TX, FL
17
Saia Inc
NNN
location_onFL, GA, TX, CA, PA
18
Ferguson Enterprises
NNN
location_onTX, CA, PA, FL, IL
19
Estes Express
NNN
location_onNC, CA, TX, PA, IL
20
AmerisourceBergen
NNN
location_onPA, CA, TX, FL, OH

Market Outlook

show_chartCap Rate Direction
7.25%
trending_upPositive
inventory_2Supply Conditions
Constrained
trending_upPositive
warningOversupply Risk
Select Markets
trending_flatNeutral

The industrial logistics market outlook remains exceptionally positive through 2026 and beyond. E-commerce penetration continues to expand, necessitating additional distribution capacity and fulfillment infrastructure. Urban and suburban markets near population centers are experiencing sustained rental growth, with supply constraints in prime locations limiting new competitive development. Major logistics operators like Amazon are actively consolidating their real estate footprints and securing long-term occupancy agreements, providing stable lease revenue. Capital availability for industrial assets remains robust, with institutional investors and REITs competing aggressively for core holdings. However, select secondary markets are experiencing oversupply in certain warehouse sectors. Investors should prioritize properties with strong tenant credit profiles, located in supply-constrained markets with favorable demographics, and featuring modern specifications suitable for contemporary logistics operations.

Key Investor Tips

  1. 1Focus on supply-constrained markets with limited developable land where tenant occupancy costs are justified by operational efficiency and delivery speed requirements.
  2. 2Seek properties leased to tier-one operators (Amazon, FedEx, DHL) with BBB- or better credit ratings, as these tenants drive sector fundamentals and maintain robust financial profiles.
  3. 3Evaluate lease structures for CPI escalations or fixed annual increases; logistics rent growth typically outpaces inflation, providing strong total return potential.
  4. 4Consider the property's technological compatibility with modern logistics standards (ceiling height, column spacing, loading capacity) as these features justify premium rents and support renewal viability.
  5. 5Monitor supply metrics in target markets; properties in markets with absorption rates below vacancy and positive net absorption (>2 million SF annually) offer superior appreciation potential.
  6. 6Assess tenant expansion plans and whether the property is strategically positioned for long-term renewal at higher rates as supply tightens and alternatives become scarcer.
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infoDisclaimer

Data and analysis on this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment, financial, or tax advice. Statistics may be estimated from publicly available sources and should be verified with primary data providers before use in investment decisions. Tenant information is sourced from public filings and may not reflect current conditions. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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