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Fed Credibility Is Now the Market’s Biggest Trade

Executive Summary Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh’s communication strategy was put to a stern test following the central bank’s decision to leave its key policy rate unchanged last week, triggeri

Summary

Executive Summary Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh’s communication strategy was put to a stern test following the central bank’s decision to leave its key policy rate unchanged last week, triggering a sharp sell-off at the long end of the Treasury curve.

The 30-year yield surged past 5.

20%, its highest close since 2007, while the 2s10s...

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