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Layering the Curve: Short Duration Today, Receive Fixed Tomorrow

Executive Summary The 10‑year SOFR swap rate has moved from roughly 3.5% before the Iran war to about 4.0%, pushing into a zone where receiving fixed begins to make strategic sense for liability manag

Executive Summary The 10‑year SOFR swap rate has moved from roughly 3.5% before the Iran war to about 4.0%, pushing into a zone where receiving fixed begins to make strategic sense for liability managers. The central thesis: over the life of a 10‑year swap, the Fed funds rate is likely to average meaningfully below 4%,...

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