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Why Rates Volatility Feels Different This Time

Executive Summary  Treasury markets are shifting from an orderly repricing to a more fragile phase. Hedge funds running 20–50x leveraged Treasury futures basis trades are trapped in a feedback loop: a

Summary

Executive Summary Treasury markets are shifting from an orderly repricing to a more fragile phase.

Hedge funds running 20–50x leveraged Treasury futures basis trades are trapped in a feedback loop: as cash Treasury prices fall and volatility rises, their collateral shrinks, leverage is cut, and they are forced to sell the same bonds backing their borrowing....

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