Market Data
Research/Sector Outlook

NNN Sector Outlook

Compare sectors side-by-side - cap rates, deal flow, vacancy, and investor positioning across 7 NNN property types.

68%
14%
10%
Deal flow share by sector · Q2 2026 · Click a segment to explore
Select Sector
warehouse

Industrial & Logistics

68% of NNN deal flow · Q2 2026
trending_upBullish
Cap Rate
5.1%
-25 bps YoY
Deal Flow
68%
Vacancy
6.8%
Renewal Rate
96%
Outlook
Bullish

Analysis

Industrial NNN assets dominate investor allocations as e-commerce fulfillment and supply chain reshoring drive unprecedented demand. Last-mile distribution near major metros commands the strongest premiums. Secondary logistics markets (Austin, Phoenix, Charlotte) offer 50-75 bps higher yields than tier-1 metros with similar fundamentals.

Key Metrics

Deal Flow Share68%
Tier-1 Premium50-75 bps
Amazon Share22% of deals
New Supply (SF)-35% from peak
Rent Growth YoY+4.2%

Top Tenants

1Amazon
2FedEx
3XPO Logistics
4J.B. Hunt
5UPS
gavelInvestor Action

Overweight. Target tier-2 logistics markets where cap rates are 50-75 bps higher than gateway cities. Focus on 100K-500K SF last-mile facilities near population centers.

Sector Comparison

Side-by-side comparison of all NNN sectors

SectorOutlookCap RateCap Δ YoYDeal FlowVacancyRenewalAction
warehouseIndustrial & Logisticsbullish5.1%-25 bps
68%
6.8%96%Overweight.
storefrontEssential Retailbullish6.1%-10 bps
14%
4.8%88%Market weight.
restaurantQuick-Service Restaurantbullish5.45%-15 bps
10%
2.1%92%Overweight IG operators.
local_hospitalMedical & Healthcarebullish5.9%-20 bps
5%
8.2%90%Overweight.
sellOff-Price & Discountneutral5.8%-10 bps
4%
3.5%91%Market weight.
domainOfficebearish7.8%+45 bps
3%
18.4%68%Underweight.
auto_awesomeSpecialty & Alternativeneutral5.6%-15 bps
6%
5.5%87%Selective overweight.

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Sector outlook and market data are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice. Cap rates, vacancy rates, and deal flow percentages are estimates based on publicly available research from CBRE, JLL, Cushman & Wakefield, CoStar, and industry reports. Actual market conditions vary by geography, tenant, and property specifics. Data as of Q2 2026. Consult qualified advisors before making investment decisions.

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2026 Market Forecasts
Cap rate projections, transaction volume outlook, and sector performance scenarios for the year ahead
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