When to Refinance: The Strategic Framework
In the current higher-for-longer environment, with the Fed holding and inflation still elevated, refinancing economics are selective rather than universally favorable. The best candidates are borrowers who financed in late 2022 or 2023, when coupons were at their peak. A conduit quote today can save money for that cohort. Properties financed during the 2024 rate-cut window, at lower coupons, have no incentive to refinance. More lenders are competing for deals than a year ago, so it pays to shop the terms.